Delphi+Model

__**SUMMARY:**__ - Delphi is a learning model that uses anonymous feedback from a broad base of members to acquire consensus information to find a solution to a common problem.

__**HISTORY:**__ - Developed by the U.S.A. to create sneaky-ass bastards who want to predict war. USA USA USA !!! - According to Wikipedia, " The name "Delphi" derives from the [|Oracle of Delphi]. The authors of the method were not happy with this name, because it implies "something oracular, something smacking a little of the occult". The Delphi method is based on the assumption that group judgments are more valid than individual judgments. The Delphi method was developed at the beginning of the [|Cold War] to forecast the impact of technology on [|warfare].[|[9]] In 1944, [|General Henry H. Arnold] ordered the creation of the report for the [|U.S. Army Air Corps] on the future technological capabilities that might be used by the military. Different approaches were tried, but the shortcomings of traditional [|forecasting] methods, such as [|theoretical approach], [|quantitative models] or trend extrapolation, in areas where precise scientific laws have not been established yet, quickly became apparent. To combat these shortcomings, the Delphi method was developed by [|Project RAND] during the 1950-1960s (1959) by [|Olaf Helmer], Norman Dalkey, and [|Nicholas Rescher].[|[10]] It has been used ever since, together with various modifications and reformulations, such as the [|Imen-Delphi] procedure. Experts were asked to give their opinion on the probability, frequency, and intensity of possible enemy attacks. Other experts could anonymously give feedback. This process was repeated several times until a consensus emerged."

- Uses anonymous members to acquire feedback - Uses a variety of members to acquire a broad-base of feedback - Enables members to thoroughly deliberate and reflect upon all aspects of the project - Motivates people to participate over a longer period of time - Produces precise, distinctive ideas - Prediction markets
 * __STRENGTHS:__**

__**WEAKNESSES:**__ - The time that it may take to come to a consensus could be prohibitive to the project.

__**RELEVANCY/**____**APPLICATION**____**:**__ - When trying to develop a new program where toes might be stepped on, the anonynous feedback could provide liberation for group members.